Spatio temporal modeling of species distribution

The aim of this thesis is study spatial distribution of different groups from different perspectives and to analyse the different approaches to this problem. We move away from the classical approach, commonly used by ecologists, to more complex solutions, already applied in several disciplines. We are focused in applying advanced modelling techniques in order to understand species distribution and species behaviour and the relationships between them and environmental factors and have used first the most common models applied in ecology to move then to more advanced and complex perspectives. From a general perspective and comparing the different models applied during the process, from MaxEnt to spatio-temporal models with INLA, we can affirm that the models that we have developed show better results that the already built. Also, it is difficult to compare between the different approaches, but the Bayesian approach shows more flexibility and also the inclusion of spatial field or the latent spatio-temporal process allows to include residuals as a proxy for unmeasured variables. Compared with additive models with thin plate splines, probably considered one of the greatest methods to analyse species distribution models working with presence-absence data, comparable to MaxEnt, CART and MARS, our results show a better fit and more flexibility in the design. As a natural process we have realised that the Bayesian approach could be a better solution or at least a different approach for consideration. The main advantage of the Bayesian model formulation is the computational ease in model fit and prediction compared to classical geostatistical methods. To do so, instead of MCMC we have used the novel integrated nested Laplace approximation approach through the Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach. The SPDE approach can be easily implemented providing results in reasonable computing time (comparing with MCMC). We showed how SPDE is a useful tool in the analysis of species distribution. This modelling could be expanded to the spatio-temporal domain by incorporating an extra term for the temporal effect, using parametric or semiparametric constructions to reflect linear, nonlinear, autoregressive or more complex behaviours. We can conclude that spatial and spatio-temporal Bayesian models are a really interesting approach for the understanding of environmental dynamics, not only because of the possibility to develop and solve more complex problems but also for the easy understanding of the implementation processes.The aim of this thesis is study spatial distribution of different groups from different perspectives and to analyse the different approaches to this problem. We move away from the classical approach, commonly used by ecologists, to more complex solutions, already applied in several disciplines. We are focused in applying advanced modelling techniques in order to understand species distribution and species behaviour and the relationships between them and environmental factors and have used first the most common models applied in ecology to move then to more advanced and complex perspectives. From a general perspective and comparing the different models applied during the process, from MaxEnt to spatio-temporal models with INLA, we can affirm that the models that we have developed show better results that the already built. Also, it is difficult to compare between the different approaches, but the Bayesian approach shows more flexibility and also the inclusion of spatial field or the latent spatio-temporal process allows to include residuals as a proxy for unmeasured variables. Compared with additive models with thin plate splines, probably considered one of the greatest methods to analyse species distribution models working with presence-absence data, comparable to MaxEnt, CART and MARS, our results show a better fit and more flexibility in the design. As a natural process we have realised that the Bayesian approach could be a better solution or at least a different approach for consideration. The main advantage of the Bayesian model formulation is the computational ease in model fit and prediction compared to classical geostatistical methods. To do so, instead of MCMC we have used the novel integrated nested Laplace approximation approach through the Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach. The SPDE approach can be easily implemented providing results in reasonable computing time (comparing with MCMC). We showed how SPDE is a useful tool in the analysis of species distribution. This modelling could be expanded to the spatio-temporal domain by incorporating an extra term for the temporal effect, using parametric or semiparametric constructions to reflect linear, nonlinear, autoregressive or more complex behaviours. We can conclude that spatial and spatio-temporal Bayesian models are a really interesting approach for the understanding of environmental dynamics, not only because of the possibility to develop and solve more complex problems but also for the easy understanding of the implementation processes

Diseño para el desarrollo sustentable y la habitabilidad segura e incluyente

Este libro se divide en dos partes que permiten permear en el campo de la enseñanza del diseño; la primera se enfoca en temáticas que se desprenden del diseño en la educación para la sustentabilidad; en la segunda, se identifican las tendencias del diseño como un modo de verlo y sentirlo: va desde el diseño emocional hacia uno de conservación, reúso y reparación de objetos para reducir el consumo de recursos materiales

Treatment with tocilizumab or corticosteroids for COVID-19 patients with hyperinflammatory state: a multicentre cohort study (SAM-COVID-19)

Objectives: The objective of this study was to estimate the association between tocilizumab or corticosteroids and the risk of intubation or death in patients with coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) with a hyperinflammatory state according to clinical and laboratory parameters. Methods: A cohort study was performed in 60 Spanish hospitals including 778 patients with COVID-19 and clinical and laboratory data indicative of a hyperinflammatory state. Treatment was mainly with tocilizumab, an intermediate-high dose of corticosteroids (IHDC), a pulse dose of corticosteroids (PDC), combination therapy, or no treatment. Primary outcome was intubation or death; follow-up was 21 days. Propensity score-adjusted estimations using Cox regression (logistic regression if needed) were calculated. Propensity scores were used as confounders, matching variables and for the inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTWs). Results: In all, 88, 117, 78 and 151 patients treated with tocilizumab, IHDC, PDC, and combination therapy, respectively, were compared with 344 untreated patients. The primary endpoint occurred in 10 (11.4%), 27 (23.1%), 12 (15.4%), 40 (25.6%) and 69 (21.1%), respectively. The IPTW-based hazard ratios (odds ratio for combination therapy) for the primary endpoint were 0.32 (95%CI 0.22-0.47; p < 0.001) for tocilizumab, 0.82 (0.71-1.30; p 0.82) for IHDC, 0.61 (0.43-0.86; p 0.006) for PDC, and 1.17 (0.86-1.58; p 0.30) for combination therapy. Other applications of the propensity score provided similar results, but were not significant for PDC. Tocilizumab was also associated with lower hazard of death alone in IPTW analysis (0.07; 0.02-0.17; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Tocilizumab might be useful in COVID-19 patients with a hyperinflammatory state and should be prioritized for randomized trials in this situatio

Ciencia Odontológica 2.0

Libro que muestra avances de la Investigación Odontológica en MéxicoEs para los integrantes de la Red de Investigación en Estomatología (RIE) una enorme alegría presentar el segundo de una serie de 6 libros sobre casos clínicos, revisiones de la literatura e investigaciones. La RIE está integrada por cuerpos académicos de la UAEH, UAEM, UAC y UdeG

CARB-ES-19 Multicenter Study of Carbapenemase-Producing Klebsiella pneumoniae and Escherichia coli From All Spanish Provinces Reveals Interregional Spread of High-Risk Clones Such as ST307/OXA-48 and ST512/KPC-3

ObjectivesCARB-ES-19 is a comprehensive, multicenter, nationwide study integrating whole-genome sequencing (WGS) in the surveillance of carbapenemase-producing K. pneumoniae (CP-Kpn) and E. coli (CP-Eco) to determine their incidence, geographical distribution, phylogeny, and resistance mechanisms in Spain.MethodsIn total, 71 hospitals, representing all 50 Spanish provinces, collected the first 10 isolates per hospital (February to May 2019); CPE isolates were first identified according to EUCAST (meropenem MIC &gt; 0.12 mg/L with immunochromatography, colorimetric tests, carbapenem inactivation, or carbapenem hydrolysis with MALDI-TOF). Prevalence and incidence were calculated according to population denominators. Antibiotic susceptibility testing was performed using the microdilution method (EUCAST). All 403 isolates collected were sequenced for high-resolution single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) typing, core genome multilocus sequence typing (cgMLST), and resistome analysis.ResultsIn total, 377 (93.5%) CP-Kpn and 26 (6.5%) CP-Eco isolates were collected from 62 (87.3%) hospitals in 46 (92%) provinces. CP-Kpn was more prevalent in the blood (5.8%, 50/853) than in the urine (1.4%, 201/14,464). The cumulative incidence for both CP-Kpn and CP-Eco was 0.05 per 100 admitted patients. The main carbapenemase genes identified in CP-Kpn were blaOXA–48 (263/377), blaKPC–3 (62/377), blaVIM–1 (28/377), and blaNDM–1 (12/377). All isolates were susceptible to at least two antibiotics. Interregional dissemination of eight high-risk CP-Kpn clones was detected, mainly ST307/OXA-48 (16.4%), ST11/OXA-48 (16.4%), and ST512-ST258/KPC (13.8%). ST512/KPC and ST15/OXA-48 were the most frequent bacteremia-causative clones. The average number of acquired resistance genes was higher in CP-Kpn (7.9) than in CP-Eco (5.5).ConclusionThis study serves as a first step toward WGS integration in the surveillance of carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales in Spain. We detected important epidemiological changes, including increased CP-Kpn and CP-Eco prevalence and incidence compared to previous studies, wide interregional dissemination, and increased dissemination of high-risk clones, such as ST307/OXA-48 and ST512/KPC-3

II Congreso internacional en educación física, recreación, deporte y actividad física. “Innovación y tendencias” - Memorias

El II Congreso Internacional de Educación Física, Recreación, Deporte y Actividad Física: “Innovación y Tendencias“ y el II Encuentro de Egresados del Departamento de Cultura Física de la Universidad de Córdoba se realizó en la ciudad de Montería, capital del Departamento de Córdoba, Colombia, como iniciativa del Grupo de Investigación en Ciencias de la Actividad Fisica y la Salud –GICAFS- del Departamento de Cultura Física, perteneciente a la Facultad de Educación y Ciencias Humanas de la Universidad de Córdoba, como muestra hacia la comunidad académica y la sociedad en general de la responsabilidad ética, social y profesional, para aportar a la construcción de tejido social, atendiendo a las recomendaciones del plan decenal del deporte, la Educación Física, la Recreación y la Actividad Física 2009-2019 (COLDEPORTES, 2009).Edición 201

Memorias del primer Simposio Nacional de Ciencias Agronómicas

Primer simposio nacional de Ciencias Agronómicas: El renacer del espacio de discusión científica para el Agro colombiano

Memorias del primer Simposio Nacional de Ciencias Agronómicas

Primer simposio nacional de Ciencias Agronómicas: El renacer del espacio de discusión científica para el Agro colombiano

Demographic, clinical, and functional determinants of antithrombotic treatment in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

Altres ajuts: Alliance Bristol-Myers Squibb/Pfizer.Background: This study assessed the sociodemographic, functional, and clinical determinants of antithrombotic treatment in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) attended in the internal medicine setting. Methods: A multicenter, cross-sectional study was conducted in NVAF patients who attended internal medicine departments for either a routine visit (outpatients) or hospitalization (inpatients). Results: A total of 961 patients were evaluated. Their antithrombotic management included: no treatment (4.7%), vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) (59.6%), direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) (21.6%), antiplatelets (6.6%), and antiplatelets plus anticoagulants (7.5%). Permanent NVAF and congestive heart failure were associated with preferential use of oral anticoagulation over antiplatelets, while intermediate-to high-mortality risk according to the PROFUND index was associated with a higher likelihood of using antiplatelet therapy instead of oral anticoagulation. Longer disease duration and institutionalization were identified as determinants of VKA use over DOACs. Female gender, higher education, and having suffered a stroke determined a preferential use of DOACs. Conclusions: This real-world study showed that most elderly NVAF patients received oral anticoagulation, mainly VKAs, while DOACs remained underused. Antiplatelets were still offered to a proportion of patients. Longer duration of NVAF and institutionalization were identified as determinants of VKA use over DOACs. A poor prognosis according to the PROFUND index was identified as a factor preventing the use of oral anticoagulation